我国居民消费行为的实证研究--总量分析与地区比较

本文在对各种消费理论进行比较分析的基础之上,对我国居民的总量消费函数与不同经济发展水平地区的居民消费行为进行了经验估计。结论如下:一是永久性收入假说更适于解释我国居民的消费行为;二是不同地区居民的永久性收入对消费的影响乘数与当地的经济发展水平成正比,在一定的条件假设下,这将影响不同地区经济发展水平的趋同性。

China's Consumers Behavior:Aggregate Analysis and Regional Comparisons

Based on the comparative analysis to all kinds of consumption theory,we estimated the aggregate consumption function of China and the consumption function of regions at different economic development level.The main resuls include:one is that the Permanent-income Hypothesis(PIH) is a good simulation to consumption behavior of China residents;the other is that the multiplicators of permanent income of different regions have a direct ratio to the economic developing level,and this will affect the economic convergence of different regions.