基于动态因子分析法的省际出版业竞争力研究

文章借助动态因子分析法对我国2004—2015年各区域出版业竞争力情况进行横向静态比较和纵向动态变化分析.研究表明:(1)我国出版业竞争力评价等级的区域分布由东到西大致呈现逐步降低的形态,与黑河-腾冲线划分的区域格局有一定相似性;(2)各区域出版业竞争力变化规律不一,波动幅度较大,且受金融危机影响显著;(3)各区域在所提取的公因子上既有优势也有劣势,因此区域出版业竞争力提升政策的侧重点并不一致.最后,根据实证分析结论,有针对性地给出区域出版业竞争力提升的政策建议.

Research on Competitiveness of ProvinciaI PubIishing Industry Based on Dynamic Factor Analysis

Through dynamic factor analysis, horizontal static comparison and longitudinal dynamic analysis on regional publishing industrial competitiveness in China since the year from 2004 to 2015, it shows :(1)the regional distribution of China's publishing industry competitiveness decreases from east to west which has a certain similarity to the pattern of regional division by Heihe-Tengchong line. (2)The regional publishing industry competitiveness changes differently and fluctuate sharply, and affected by the financial crisis significantly.(3)Each region has both advantages and disadvantages in terms of the extracted common factors, so the emphasis of policy promoting regional publishing industrial competitiveness is not consistent. Finally, according to the conclusions of empirical analysis, some policies and recommendations are given for promoting regional publishing industrial competitiveness.