| 灰色加法组合预测模型及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵海青,杨秀岐. 灰色加法组合预测模型及其应用[J]. 保定师专学报, 2002, 15(4): 1-4 |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵海青 杨秀岐 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学计算科学与信息系 河北保定071003(赵海青)，秦皇岛热电厂 河北秦皇岛066000(杨秀岐) |
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| 基金项目： | 华北电力大学校科研和教改项目;; |
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| 摘 要： | 针对季节性时间序列具有增长性和周期性的特点,将其进行分解建模,并与灰色系统理论相结合,首次提出了灰色加法组合预测模型。通过京津唐电网中的应用表明,此方法简单有效,对于季节性预测问题有很强的实用性和较高的预测精度。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色加法组合预测模型 季节性预测 分解建模 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-4584(2002)04-0001-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-05-17 |
Combined Grey Addition Model and its Application |
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| ZHAO Hai qing,YANG Xiu qi. Combined Grey Addition Model and its Application[J]. Journal of Baoding Teachers College, 2002, 15(4): 1-4 |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Hai qing YANG Xiu qi |
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| Abstract: | Because the seasonal time sequence has the characters of increasing and fluctuating.It is proposed for the forecasting model combined grey addition model of seasonal forecast.With the application in the power net of Beijing Tianjin Tangshan region,it is indicated that the model presents better utility and accuracy. |
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| Keywords: | the forecasting model combined grey addition model seasonal forecast composition model |
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