| 决策分析的发展和应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑季良,邹平. 决策分析的发展和应用[J]. 云南师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2005, 37(5): 66-71 |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑季良 邹平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 昆明理工大学,管理与经济学院,云南,昆明,650093
2. 云南师范大学,云南,昆明,650092 |
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| 摘 要： | 在回顾决策分析理论发展历史的基础上,给出了决策分析的研究领域和研究方向。决策分析的几个基本研究分支为主观概率估计、效用理论、群决策、多目标决策、竞争性决策等,通过对各分支的发展简史、应用状况和方向的回顾和分析,强调决策分析在决策科学和管理科学发展中的基础性作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 决策分析 主观概率 效用理论 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-5110（2005）05-0066-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-05-26 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-05-26 |
The development and application of decision analysis |
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| ZHENG Ji-liang,ZOU Ping. The development and application of decision analysis[J]. Journal of Yunnan Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition), 2005, 37(5): 66-71 |
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| Authors: | ZHENG Ji-liang ZOU Ping |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Faculty of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science ~ Technology, Kunming 650093, China; 2. Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650092, China |
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| Abstract: | The research fields and directions of decision analysis (DA) have been pointed out, based on the review of the history of DA theory. The basic research branches of DA are subjective probability assessment, utility theory, group decision, multiple objective decision making, and competitive decision making. The development, application and research direction of each branch are reviewed and analyzed, and it is emphasized that DA has a fundamental position in the science of decision making and management. |
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| Keywords: | decision analysis subjective probability utility theory |
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