| 有害物品运输风险度量模型的两种改进分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭晓林,李军. 有害物品运输风险度量模型的两种改进分析[J]. 软科学, 2009, 23(8): 41-44 |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭晓林 李军 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西南交通大学经济管理学院,成都,610031;成都信息工程学院管理学院,成都,610225
2. 西南交通大学经济管理学院,成都,610031 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目，新世纪优秀人才支持计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 在回顾总影响后果模型的基础上,对该模型在事故分级框架下给出了两种不同的改进形式,并对其公理满足性进行了检验。结果表明,其中一种改进形式既违背公理又违背常理,不宜用于有害物品运输路径选择问题。对于另外一种改进形式,虽然满足公理,但如果改进前的模型默认路段影响后果即为最大可能影响后果,那么改进后与改进前的模型从本质上说是一致的。
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| 关 键 词： | 有害物品运输 模型改进 公理检验 对比分析 事故分级 |
Analysis of Two Risk Models Meliorated from the Population Exposure Model for Hazmat Transport |
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| GUO Xiao-lin,LI Jun. Analysis of Two Risk Models Meliorated from the Population Exposure Model for Hazmat Transport[J]. Soft Science, 2009, 23(8): 41-44 |
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| Authors: | GUO Xiao-lin LI Jun |
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| Abstract: | Reviewing the population exposure risk model,this paper develops two renewed models from it under the accident graduation,and verifies three axioms to them.It is showed that one of two models violates not only these axioms but also intuition,which is not suitable with routing for hazmat transport.Another one satisfies axioms,but essentially does not differ with un-renewed model only if that the consequence with the accident release is the utmost of it is on acquiescence. |
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| Keywords: | hazmat transport improving model verifying axioms contrast analysis accident graduation |
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