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水电系统中长期水文预报方法研究
引用本文:林利森,张琦.水电系统中长期水文预报方法研究[J].科技广场,2014(6):76-78.
作者姓名:林利森  张琦
作者单位:江西省水利投资集团有限公司;
基金项目:贵州省矿山压力与岩层控制工程中心资助项目(编号:黔教合KY字[2012]027号);六盘水师范学院科研计划项目(编号:Lpssy201320)
摘    要:水库径流预测一直是水文水资源研究领域最重要的问题之一,本文将自回归预报方法应用于水库中长期径流预报当中,建立水文预报模型。实验表明,自回归预测在径流预报中有较好的实用性和广泛的应用前景。

关 键 词:径流  自回归  中长期预报

Research on Mid-Long Term Hydrological Forecasting Method in Hydroelectric Systems
Lin Lisen,Zhang Qi.Research on Mid-Long Term Hydrological Forecasting Method in Hydroelectric Systems[J].Science Mosaic,2014(6):76-78.
Authors:Lin Lisen  Zhang Qi
Institution:(Jiangxi Water Conservancy Investment Group Co., Ltd., Jiangxi province 330001 )
Abstract:he runoff prediction has been one of the most important topics in hydrological research. In order to improve water management efficiency of hydro system, the autoregressive method is applied to the long-term runoff forecasting and the runoff forecasting model. Finally, some actual results for mid and long term water inflow forecasting are obtained which show the proposed method of a good precision for forecasting.
Keywords:Runoff  Autoregressive Method  Mid and Long Term Water Inflow Forecasting
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