第二十八届奥运会中国代表团奖牌榜名次分析

采用文献资料法、数理统计法、逻辑分析法,对参加第28届奥运会各国体育代表团所获奖牌的结构数量、项目分布等指标进行分析,以期对下一轮次奥运周期目标定位、计划的制定与实施提供理论依据。研究表明,我国目前仍位于第一集团的美国、俄罗斯之后,处于第二集团,排在第三位;基础项目实力薄弱的总体状况,未发生根本改观;部分优势项目金牌饱和度较高,夺金增长空间不大;部分世界级优势项目的实力表现与落后或潜优势项目的高水平发挥造就了我国高水准的金牌转化率;我国奥运竞技史上的“阴盛阳衰”现象仍然得以延续。

The Analysis of the Medal Rank of Chinese Delegation in the 28th Olympic Games

The paper makes analysis on the construction,quantity,events and so on of medals which all countries obtain in 28th Olympic Games,by using the method of documents,statistics and logical analysis for the purpose of providing theory to our target,plan,and implement of next period of Olympic Games.The researching result indicates that Chinese delegation is in the third rank and second group,behind the delegation of American and Russian,which is in the first group.And that the weak condition of sports strength in foundational events is not improved basically,the saturated degree winning gold medals is so higher in some advantageous events that cause the extra space less in gaining gold.And that Our high level rate in winning gold is caused by the performance of some advantageous events in world level and the high level performance of some undeveloped or potential advantageous ones.The phenomenon still exists that our women's performance is better than men's in Olympics competition.