College student and dropout problem: A qualitative dynamic simulation

A dynamic computer simulation of the four year college student has been conducted using the methods of system dynamics. Major aims of the study have been: (1) the development of an approach to the simulation of a behavioral system having neither well-defined structure nor easily quantifiable variables and parameters; (2) a better understanding of the mechanisms which control the student's performance in college and the developments leading to a decision to drop out; and (3) the development of a tool for testing the effects of alternative educational and administrative policies on the student.Major variables of the model are the academic performance of the student, his gradepoint average, grade pressure, motivation, frustration, educational achievement, extracurricular education, and the financial situation of the student. Some of the parameters are the quality of the institution, (perceived) relevance of the curriculum, intellectual stimulation both within and without the prescribed curriculum, ability of the student, and his personal goals. The simulation was programmed in DYNAMO. Some results of the simulation are presented. The possible value and validity of qualitative simulation are discussed.This research was conducted while the author was Associate Professor of Mechanical Engineering at the University of California at Santa Barbara. The author is indebted to Dr. John W. Snyder, Vice-Chancellor of the University of California at Santa Barbara for his suggestion of the research topic, and to Alexander Bocast for assistance in the first stages of model formulation.