Causal and predictive-value judgments,but not predictions,are based on cue-outcome contingency |
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Authors: | Miguel?A?Vadillo Ralph?R?Miller Email author" target="_blank">Helena?MatuteEmail author |
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Institution: | Departamento de Psicología, Universidad de Deusto, Bilbao, Spain. |
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Abstract: | In three experiments, we show that people respond differently when they make predictions as opposed to when they are asked
to estimate the causal or the predictive value of cues: Their response to each of those three questions is based on different
sets of information. More specifically, we show that prediction judgments depend on the probability of the outcome given the
cue, whereas causal and predictivevalue judgments depend on thecue-outcome contingency. Although these results might seem problematic for most associative models in their present form, they can be explained by
explicitly assuming the existence of postacquisition processes that modulate participants’ responses in a flexible way. |
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Keywords: | |
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