| 短期电力负荷的组合预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘兵军. 短期电力负荷的组合预测模型[J]. 保定师专学报, 2004, 17(2): 5-7 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘兵军 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学应用数学系，河北保定071003 |
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| 摘 要： | 对时负荷建立了灰色模型和自适应滤波模型，利用拟合优度最小的原则对两种模型进行择优组合，建立组合预测模型，经实例验证，预测结果令人满意．
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 自适应滤波 组合预测 拟合优度 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-4584(2004)02-0005-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-03-25 |
The Combined Forecast Model for Short Term Power System Load |
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| LIU Bing-jun. The Combined Forecast Model for Short Term Power System Load[J]. Journal of Baoding Teachers College, 2004, 17(2): 5-7 |
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| Authors: | LIU Bing-jun |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,Grey forecasting model and Adaptive filter forecasting mo del about hourly load are set up.Based on the fitting o rder,Grey forecasting model is comb ined with Adaptive filter fore-casting model.The calculation resu lt of a practical system shows that th e forecast accuracy is satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | Grey forecast Adaptive filter fore cast Combined forecast Fitting or der |
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