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Financial crisis early-warning model of listed companies based on predicted value
Authors:Liu Yanwen Zhao Chunyang
Abstract:To establish a financial early-warning model with high accuracy of discrimination and achieve the aim of long-term prediction, principal component analysis (PCA), Fisher discriminant, together with grey forecasting models are used at the same time. 110 A-share companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchange are selected as research samples. And 10 extractive factors with 89.746% of all the original information are determined by applying PCA, which obtains the goal of dimension reduction without...
Keywords:financial crisis early-warning  Fisher discriminant  GM(1  1) model
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