中国省域入境旅游吸引力空间耦合关系研究

本文以2002年、2004年、2006年和2008年的入境旅游者在中国大陆各省的流向为研究内容,分别运用引力模型和潜力模型对中国省域间入境旅游相互吸引力和各省入境旅游总体吸引力进行研究,并在此基础上应用地统计分析检验了中国大陆各省入境旅游总体吸引力的空间耦合关系,结果显示:①国内各省入境旅游总体吸引力大致呈逐年增强趋势,但省域之间的入境旅游相互吸引力则呈减弱趋势;②在空间上,国内各省入境旅游总体吸引力呈由东向西逐渐减弱的分布特征;随着年份的增加,省域之间的入境旅游总体吸引力差距逐步减小。文后就本研究的不足之处和在今后研究实践中应关注的方面进行了阐述。

Spatial Coupling Relationship of the Attraction of Provincial Inbound Tourism in China

Inbound tourism is an important component of the tourism industry of China. Revealing explicitly the competition between provinces, reducing internal frictions, and agglomerating the mutual attraction of inbound tourism between provinces would be helpful for generally expanding the inbound tourism market. On a spatial level, the author revealed and analyzed the spatial coupling between every province, with the aim to provide reference for the development of national and provincial inbound tourism market strategies in the future. Data were the flow of inbound tourist grouped data of the sample survey of inbound tourists, including 31 provinces of mainland China. The author investigated the flow of inbound tourists that came to China in 2002, 2004, 2006, and 2008 using the gravity model and potential model to examine the mutual attraction of inbound tourism between provinces and the overall attraction of inbound tourism for every province. On the basis of this, the author used geostatistical analysis to test the coupling of the overall attraction of inbound tourism for each province. Results show that: 1) the overall attraction of inbound tourism for each province was generally increasing, but the mutual attraction of inbound tourism between each province showed a decreasing trend. This is due to an increasingly improved national economy, enhancing inter-provincial communication, and the external tourism promotion. In year 2008, the overall attractiveness of inbound tourism of some provinces was degraded due to the impact of U.S. subprime mortgage crisis. 2) For spatial characteristics, the overall attraction of inbound tourism for each province gradually decreased from the east to the west. The gap of the overall attraction of inbound tourism for each province was gradually reduced over time, since the eastern regions bear some advantages over the western regions, including traffic, infrastructure, and capital. Since Xi'an is a famous tourist destination, the central region exhibited degradation of the overall attraction of inbound tourism. With the western development strategy, the gap between eastern regions and western regions would become small.