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陕西省高等教育“十一五”发展规模预测刍议
引用本文:徐智德,朱征南. 陕西省高等教育“十一五”发展规模预测刍议[J]. 民办教育研究, 2007, 0(3)
作者姓名:徐智德  朱征南
作者单位:西安外事学院教学督导室 陕西西安710077(徐智德),陕西省教育厅发展规划处 陕西西安710003(朱征南)
摘    要:陕西高等教育学龄人口在2000—2020年间的变化为单峰曲线,2008年为高峰,人口为403.35万人。预测2010年高等教育在校生为120万人,毛入学率约30%。"十一五"期间规模扩大新增配套办学条件需经费73亿元,其中民办高校需16亿元。高等学校专任教师在总量上可满足发展的需要,但在结构上需要调整,在质量方面需要提高。

关 键 词:陕西  高等教育  “十一五”  预测

The Forecast of the Development Scale of Higher Education of Shaanxi Province During the 11th Five-year Plan
Xu Zhide,Zhu Zhengnan. The Forecast of the Development Scale of Higher Education of Shaanxi Province During the 11th Five-year Plan[J]. Private Education Research, 2007, 0(3)
Authors:Xu Zhide  Zhu Zhengnan
Abstract:The evolution of school-age population of higher education is a single-hump curve in Shaanxi province from the 2000-2020.The summit is 4,033,455 in 2008.It is forecasted that the number of students enrollment of higher education is 1.2million in 2010,and the gross enrollment rate of higher education is 30%.It is 7.3billion yuan that educational expenditure should be added to provide basic condition for developing higher education.The expenditure of non-governmental higher education in it is 1.6 billion yuan.Total of teachers can meet the needs of higher educational development,but the structure must be improved,and their scientific ability should be sharpened.
Keywords:shaanxi  higher education  the 11th five-year plan  forecast
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