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中国经济稳步进入新一轮景气状态
引用本文:闫重阳,李国斌.中国经济稳步进入新一轮景气状态[J].预测,2000,19(2):1-7,18.
作者姓名:闫重阳  李国斌
作者单位:1. 国家开发银行
2. 国家信息中心,北京 100045
摘    要:本文讨论了目前中国经济通货紧缩的国内外经济主导力量及其近期显著的演化趋势。在此基础上,我们对中国宏观经济包括经济增长,通货膨胀以及国际收支等变量的近期演变进行了分析,并给出了今明两年的相关预测结果。

关 键 词:通货紧缩  经济增长  国际收支  中国经济
文章编号:1003-5192(2000)02-0001-07

China's Economy on New Stable Expansion Track
YAN Chong yang ,LI Guo bin.China's Economy on New Stable Expansion Track[J].Forecasting,2000,19(2):1-7,18.
Authors:YAN Chong yang  LI Guo bin
Institution:YAN Chong yang 1,LI Guo bin 2
Abstract:In this paper, it was discussed whether and which domestic and extemal forces domiinates much or not China's present deflation trend, and as key as possible, the latest significant changing trends of those forces. On the bases, we prepared with short term macroeconomic analysis and forecast such as those on economic activities, inflation, as well as international balance of payments (BOP) on China's economy.
Keywords:deflation economic gowth  ROP  China's and Global economy  East Asian financial tur moil  new expansion track  
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