弱隐性知识溢出对经济增长的贡献分析——基于CNKI和ISI的论文合作数据

以1980-2008年我国GDP产出、劳动力投入、资本投入、RD投入和以论文合作为测度的弱隐性知识溢出(TKS)为基础,对弱隐性知识溢出与经济产出进行单位根检验、协整分析和因果检验,建立误差修正模型和脉冲响应函数,给出两者在长期、短期内的定量变动关系;同时利用金砖四国和日本、美国的数据对结果进行进一步验证。结果表明:无论是从长期均衡还是从短期变动来看,弱隐性知识溢出对产出的促进作用都是正向的,其与产出存在着Granger因果关系和长期协整关系,且短期影响显著。在我国RD对TKS变动的脉冲反应最为明显。

The impact of weak tacit knowledge spillover on economic growth based on paper cooperation

Based on related data of China during 1980-2008,this paper firstly does co-integration analysis,error reaction model and impulse response function on the weak Tacit Knowledge Spillover(TKS) and the economic output,then analyzes the effect of the TKS in raising economic growth and technology advance.Furthermore,validate the results with the data of the BRICs as well as Japan and the United States,and found the tacit knowledge spillover is positive to economic growth whether from a long-term equilibrium or from the short-term fluctuations and the short-term effect is more remarkable.Moreover,the pulse response of R&D to TKS is the most obvious in China.