2008年中国与世界女子新兴田赛项目成绩发展态势比较研究

用文献法、数理统计法对近十年中国与世界女子新兴田赛项目成绩变化特征及其原因进行了分析。研究指出:从奥运会设项至今,我国女子三级跳远与撑杆跳高运动技术水平走出了一条小角度缓慢提高之路,与世界水平呈差距拉大之势,如不引起重视,在有限的时间内采取有力措施,昔日辉煌在2008年将不再现;我国女子链球运动技术水平走出了一条大角度快速提高之路,与世界水平呈差距缩小之势,如继续努力,在有限的时间内采取有力措施,在2008年将有可能实现新的突破。

To Predict Scores of Women''''s Rising Events in Track and Field of 2008 Olympic Games

By using literatures, and mathematical or physical statistics, the paper analyzes features of score changes of the women's rising events in track and field . The research points out that since the Olympic Games set this event till the present our country's women triple jump and pole-vault technical level has been taking a slowly-rising road on a small scale, and showing a trend of broadening distance with that of the world. If we neither pay attention nor take effective measures in limited time, the previous brilliance will not reappear in 2008; if we attach much importance to it and take some effective measures in a limited time, the event of our country's women hammer throw will take a greatly increasing road, and narrow distance with the world's level and the previous brilliance will certainly appear.