基于空间统计的人口迁移流分析 --以我国三大都市圈为例

三大都市圈是中国的经济、文化和交通中心。就三大都市圈的人口迁移进行研究,对于整个中国的人口迁移研究具有代表性意义。运用空间统计中有关方向和距离的研究方法,针对2000年人口普查1‰抽样数据对三大都市圈人口迁移规律进行探讨后发现,影响地区之间人口迁移量的主要因素有经济差距、人口规模、地理距离和气候差别。据此,参照吉佛的引力模型,可以建立三大都市圈与全国其他各地州市的人口迁移量模型。

An Analysis of the Population Resettlement Flow Based on the Integration of Spatial Statistics and GIS -A Case Study of Three Megalopoleis in Contemporary China

For a long time the three megalopoleis have been centers of China's economy, culture and transportation. Through an analysis of migration data of 20 00 census in China and using GIS and spatial statistical methods about migration direction and distance in the three large cities, this paper shows that there ar e four factors which effect population quantity of migration flow: economic gap, popula tion quantity, geographical distance and climatological disparity. Here a model of population flow quantity is created in reference to Giffer's population gravity model.