| 许昌晚霜冻灰色预测及对策 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵巧梅,徐清舟.许昌晚霜冻灰色预测及对策[J].许昌学院学报,2002,21(2):94-96. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵巧梅 徐清舟 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 许昌市气象局,河南,许昌,461000
2. 许昌师专,数学系,河南,许昌,461000 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了 4 5年来许昌晚霜冻的气候特点 ,用灰色灾变的预测方法 ,对许昌晚霜冻出现的时间进行了分析 ,建立了GM(1,1)模型 ,得到了满意的结果 .在分析晚霜冻灾害的基础上 ,提出了防御晚霜冻灾害的对策
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| 关 键 词： | 晚霜冻 灰色预测 对策 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-9949(2002)02-0094-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年12月13 |
Grey Forecasting and Countermeasure on Severe Late Frosts of Xuchang |
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| ZHAO Qiao-mei,XU Qing-zhou.Grey Forecasting and Countermeasure on Severe Late Frosts of Xuchang[J].Journal of Xuchang University,2002,21(2):94-96. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Qiao-mei XU Qing-zhou |
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| Abstract: | This article analyzes the 45-year weather condition on the severe late frosts in Xuchang district.By means of grey catastrophic forecasting,it analyzes the time of severe late frosts and sets up GM(1,1)pattern and has a satisfactory result.On the basis of analyzing severe late frosts it puts forward the countermeasure against severe late frosts. |
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| Keywords: | severe late frosts grey forecasting countermeasure |
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