资源富集区产业转型困境：基于发展序的比较

大量研究表明,资源富集区产业转型困境与这些地区相对落后的科技、人力资本等方面的发展有关。基于此,本文通过一个"发展序"的分析框架进一步系统解释了资源富集区在这些方面的发展相对落后的原因。发展序定义为:政府总是在先重视什么、其次又重视什么的发展问题上做着选择,选择结果依次排列,就构成了发展序。据此理解,本文利用2008年数据,通过省级层面的地区分类比较,结果显示有利于产业转型的一些关键领域的发展之所以在资源富集区表现得相对落后,根本原因还在于其相对较低的生产力发展水平以及脆弱的财政能力。当前,为促进资源富集区的产业转型,应使他们的发展序向更有利于建立接续替代产业的方向变异。为此,在目前的情况下可尝试从两方面突破:一是集中关注教科,提升人力资本;二是规范政府的决策、行政和服务行为,营造良好政治环境,提升区域竞争力。

Industry Transformation Dilemma of Resource-Rich Areas: A Comparison Based on a Development Hierarchy Model

It has become aware in China that it is essential to promoting and realizing industrial transformation and eliminating the dependence on resources in resource-rich areas as much as possible. However, it is the relatively undeveloped technology, education, and human capital in resource-rich areas that have led to an unexpected result. This study made an attempt to explain the reasons why the resource-rich areas are undeveloped in these aspects by a development hierarchy. A development hierarchy can be define...