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武汉城市圈经济对湖北整体经济关系的滞后影响和交叉影响
引用本文:刘玉成.武汉城市圈经济对湖北整体经济关系的滞后影响和交叉影响[J].荆门职业技术学院学报,2009,24(9):65-70.
作者姓名:刘玉成
作者单位:荆楚理工学院,期刊社,湖北,荆门,448000 
摘    要:基于武汉城市圈和湖北省2007年1月至2009年8月的月度经济数据,研究了武汉城市圈经济指标对湖北经济总量指标的滞后效应、交叉影响,以及武汉城市圈改革试验区成立前后城市圈与湖北经济总量关系的变化,认为城市圈两型社会改革试验区成立前后,经济变化不明显,城市圈的一体化、集团化效应还未真正体现出来,同时政策的滞后效应也有待于未来显现。

关 键 词:湖北  武汉城市圈  财政收入  规模工业增加值  固定资产投资  社会消费品零售额  滞后效应  交叉影响

Hysteresis Effect and Cross Effect of Wuhan Metropolitan Area' s Economy on Hubei Province's Economy
Institution:LIU Yu - cheng (Jingchu University of Technology,Jingmen, Hubei ,448000,China)
Abstract:Based on the monthly economy data of Wuhan Metropolitan Area and Hubei province from Jan. 2007 to Aug. 2009, the author studied such changes as : economy proportion of Wuhan Metropolitan Area in Hubei and contribution degree, hysteresis effect, cross effect of Wuhan Metropolitan Area, also the relation on Wuhan Metropolitan Area and Hubei province before and after Wuhan and other 8 cities formed Two - oriented Society Test Area. From the study, the author thinks that neither the integrative effect and collective effect nor the hysteresis effect of economy policy have emerged after Wuhan Two - oriented Society Test Area was established.
Keywords:Hubei province  Wuhan Metropolitan Area  financial returns  large- scale industrial value - added  fixed - asset investment  total retailing of social consuming goods  hysteresis effect  cross effect
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