整合逻辑与直觉 悟思创新祛偏差——高层次情报分析的认知基础研究

在小理查兹·霍耶尔所提出的情报认知心理学的研究基础上,文章沿着这一流派脉络,继续将认知心理学的最新进展引入情报分析理论中,进一步完善情报分析的认知基础,所涉猎的内容有导致情报失误的主要认知偏差和双重加工理论,以及有助于灵感、洞见和顿悟生成的悟性创新思维。研究发现:双重加工理论是情报分析的认知前提基础,偏于直觉或逻辑任何一方的认知偏差,都可能导致情报误判;常规上客观而准确的情报分析建立在整合直觉和逻辑的基础之上,富有洞见的高层次情报发现是运用悟性创新思维、创造性地协同直觉和逻辑之间关系的结果。此外,文章进一步发展了钱学森先生所提出的情报分析的灵感思维,首次正式地将认知心理学、悟性思维与情报分析连接起来。

To Integrate Intuition & Deliberation,Apply Wuity Thinking,and Reduce Cognitive Bias:Research on the Cognitive Basis of High-Level Information Analysis

Based on the research of information cognitive psychology put forward by Richard Hoyer Jr.,this paper continues to introduce the latest development of cognitive psychology into the theory of information analysis,further improves the cognitive basis of information analysis,which involves the main cognitive biases that lead to information lapses,and proposes that the Wuity thinking is the key to generate inspiration,important thoughts and insights.It is found that the dual processing theory is the cognitive premise of information analysis,and the cognitive deviation biased towards intuition or logic can lead to misjudgment;the conventionally accurate and objective information analysis is based on the integration of intuition and logic,and the insightful high-level information discovery is the result of applying the Wuity thinking,which can synthesize intuition and logic creatively.This paper also develops the inspiration thinking proposed by Xuesen Qian,for the first time connect cognitive psychology,wuity thinking and information analysis together.