山西人口预测模型 |
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引用本文: | 李海珍.山西人口预测模型[J].宜宾学院学报,2011(6):38-40. |
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作者姓名: | 李海珍 |
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作者单位: | [1]太原大学外语师范学院数学系,山西太原030012;[2]广州大学数学与信息科学学院,广东广州510006 |
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摘 要: | 通过数据拟合揭示山西人口增长率与人口总量存在线性关系,由此建立山西人口模型,并将模型离散化得到差分形式模型.采用差分形式模型对山西人口进行预测分析,预测精度达到99.99%,并借助统计软件对未来十一年的山西人口总量进行了预测.
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关 键 词: | 山西省 差分模型 人口 |
The Pridictive Model of the Population in Shanxi Province |
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Authors: | LI Hai-zhen |
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Institution: | LI Hai-zhen(1.Department of Mathematics,Foreign Language Normal College of Taiyuan University,Taiyuan 030012,China,2.College of Mathematics and Information Science,Guangzhou University,Guangzhou 510006,China) |
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Abstract: | The linear relation between the population growth rate and the total population in Shanxi Province is revealed in the way of fitting data to establish a model of the population,from which a difference model is formed by discretization.This difference model is for a predictive analysis of the population in Shanxi province with the precision of 99.99%,and the total population of Shanxi province in the coming 11 years will be predicted with the help of the software Excel. |
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Keywords: | Shanxi province difference model population |
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