西部地区新型工业化质量测度及空间溢出效应

本文基于2008-2017年间的西部11个省域的面板数据为研究对象,对新型工业化质量进行测度与评价,探究西部地区新型工业化质量发展的空间依赖性及影响因素的时空作用机制。结果显示：①在只考虑地理距离的空间关系下,西部地区新型工业化质量的空间分布呈现着高—高集聚与高—低极化的趋势,形成演化空间差异相对明显的空间格局。②影响西部地区新型工业化质量发展的因素存在着空间溢出效应。资源、开放度、技术因素对西部区域新型工业化质量发展起到促进作用,资本、劳动力、政府规模阻碍了西部工业化质量的提高。西部地区应因地制宜实施生态评估机制与产业政策布局,合理进行人力资本、信息技术与基础设施的投入与建设,利用空间溢出效应实施生态导向的目标责任制。提高生态系统的承载力,放慢经济增长的速度,提升工业化的质量型绩效水平,实现西部地区新型工业化高质量发展的空间格局。

Quality measurement and spatial spillover effect of new industrialization in western China-- analysis based on spatial dubin model

Based on the panel data of 11 provinces in western China from 2008 to 2017, this paper measures and evaluates the quality of new industrialization, and explores the spatial dependence of the development of new industrialization quality in western China and the spatio-temporal mechanism of influencing factors.The results show that: (1) considering only the spatial relation of geographical distance, the spatial distribution of new industrialization quality in western China presents a trend of high-high agglomeration and high-low polarization, forming a spatial pattern with relatively obvious evolutionary spatial difference.The factors that affect the quality development of new industrialization in western China have spatial spillover effect.Resources, openness and technology promote the quality development of new industrialization in western regions, while capital, labor force and government scale hinder the improvement of the quality of industrialization in western regions.In western China, ecological assessment mechanism and industrial policy layout should be implemented according to local conditions, investment and construction of human capital, information technology and infrastructure should be carried out reasonably, and ecological oriented target responsibility system should be implemented with spatial spillover effect.To improve the carrying capacity of ecological system, slow down the speed of economic growth, improve the quality performance level of industrialization, and realize the spatial pattern of high-quality development of new industrialization in western China.