| 江苏省用电量的灰色预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 丁玲.江苏省用电量的灰色预测模型[J].鸡西大学学报,2011,11(9):52-53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 丁玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏科技大学张家港校区基础教学部,215600 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文应用灰色预测法对江苏省用电量进行预测。通过对2004———2009年江苏省用电量原始数据进行生成处理来寻找系统的规律,生成有较强规律性的数据序列,然后建立相应的微分方程模型,从而预测用电量的未来发展趋势,并通过残差修正模型使得模型的精确程度有所提高。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 精度检验 相关分析 |
Forecasting Electricity Consumption in Jiangsu Province by the Gray Prediction Method |
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| Ding Ling.Forecasting Electricity Consumption in Jiangsu Province by the Gray Prediction Method[J].JOurnal of Jixi University:comprehensive Edition,2011,11(9):52-53. |
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| Authors: | Ding Ling |
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| Abstract: | This paper aims to forecast electricity consumption in Jiangsu Province by the gray prediction method.By using the original data from 2004 to 2009 to find the law of the system to generate a strong regular data sequence,and then create the appropriate differential equation model to predict the future trend of electricity consumption.In addition,the paper also use residual modified model to improve the accuracy of prediction. |
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| Keywords: | gray prediction accuracy test correlation analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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