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Adaptive Equilibrium Regulation: Modeling Individual Dynamics on Multiple Timescales
Authors:Kevin L McKee  Lance M Rappaport  Steven M Boker  Debbie S Moskowitz  Michael C Neale
Institution:1. Virginia Commonwealth University;2. University of Virginia;3. McGill University
Abstract:Damped Linear Oscillators estimated by 2nd-order Latent Differential Equation have assumed a constant equilibrium and one oscillatory component. Lower-frequency oscillations may come from seasonal background processes, which non-randomly contribute to deviation from equilibrium at each occasion and confound estimation of dynamics over shorter timescales. Boker (2015) proposed a model of individual change on multiple timescales, but implementation, simulation, and applications to data have not been demonstrated. This study implemented a generalization of the proposed model; examined robustness to varied timescale ratios, measurement error, and occasions-per-person in simulated data; and tested for dynamics at multiple timescales in experience sampling affect data. Results show small standard errors and low bias to dynamic estimates at timescale ratios greater than 3:1. Below 3:1, estimate error was sensitive to noise and total occasions; rates of non-convergence increased. For affect data, model comparisons showed statistically significant dynamics at both timescales for both participants.
Keywords:Dynamical systems  feedback control  intra-individual  multi-timescale
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