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Specification Search for Identifying the Correct Mean Trajectory in Polynomial Latent Growth Models
Authors:Minjung Kim  Oi-Man Kwok  Myeongsun Yoon  Victor Willson  Mark H C Lai
Institution:1. University of South Carolina;2. Texas A&3. M University
Abstract:This study investigated the optimal strategy for model specification search under the latent growth modeling (LGM) framework, specifically on searching for the correct polynomial mean or average growth model when there is no a priori hypothesized model in the absence of theory. In this simulation study, the effectiveness of different starting models on the search of the true mean growth model was investigated in terms of the mean and within-subject variance-covariance (V-C) structure model. The results showed that specifying the most complex (i.e., unstructured) within-subject V-C structure with the use of LRT, ΔAIC, and ΔBIC achieved the highest recovery rate (>85%) of the true mean trajectory. Implications of the findings and limitations are discussed.
Keywords:growth curve analysis  growth models  latent growth modeling  model selection  specification search
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