| 江苏省城镇居民消费支出结构分析与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 欧邦才,王慧敏,李金祥. 江苏省城镇居民消费支出结构分析与预测[J]. 预测, 2002, 21(1): 25-28 |
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| 作者姓名： | 欧邦才 王慧敏 李金祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 河海大学,国际工商学院,江苏,南京,210098
2. 水利部松辽水利委员会,吉林,长春,130021 |
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| 摘 要： | 居民家庭消费支出结构反映了人们对各类商品的需求结构。影响居民家庭消费支出的因素很多,但其中收入水平变化起决定性作用。本文利用扩展线性支出系统模型（ELES）,着重分析江苏省居民家庭消费支出结构变化与收入变化的关系,从而提示江苏省居民家庭消费支出结构的量变特性,并对其“十五”时期消费结构作出预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 消费支出结构 江苏省 扩展线性支出系统模型 ELES 城镇居民消费 家庭消费 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5192(2002)01-0025-04 |
Analysis and Forecast on Expending Structure of Urban Households in Jiangsu Province |
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| OU Bang-cai ,WANG Hui-min ,LI Jin-xiang. Analysis and Forecast on Expending Structure of Urban Households in Jiangsu Province[J]. Forecasting, 2002, 21(1): 25-28 |
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| Authors: | OU Bang-cai WANG Hui-min LI Jin-xiang |
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| Affiliation: | OU Bang-cai 1,WANG Hui-min 1,LI Jin-xiang 2 |
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| Abstract: | The expending structure of urban households reflects the needing structure which people need for all kinds of goods. There are many factors influence family expenditure, but the factor of income changes plays the decisional effect. This paper, using Model of Extend Linear Expenditure System, fell mainly on the relationship between the changes of expending structure and those of income, and poses the feature about the changes in quantity of urban households'expending srtucture in Jiangsu province, and then forecasts its expending structure in the period of "the tenth five-year plan". |
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| Keywords: | expending structure analysis and forecast |
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