| 中国经济周期的特征分析(1953-2011) |
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| 引用本文： | 李星.中国经济周期的特征分析(1953-2011)[J].嘉应学院学报,2012,30(4):31-36. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李星 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东商学院国民经济研究中心,广州,510320 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目，国家社科基金资助项目，广东省创新人才资助项目，广州市哲学社科资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 1953年以来,我国一共经历了11个完整的周期波动,第12次周期自2010年开始尚正在进行中,主要以4-5年期的短期波动为主,而5年以上的周期波动较少。虽然改革以来我国经济增长的稳定程度不断增强,平均增长水平不断提高,但高速增长背后收缩期也在延长。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济周期 对数差分法 波动幅度 增长水平 |
Analysis on the Characteristics of Business Cycles in China |
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| LI Xing.Analysis on the Characteristics of Business Cycles in China[J].Journal of Jiaying University,2012,30(4):31-36. |
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| Authors: | LI Xing |
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| Institution: | LI Xing(National Economics Research Center,Guangdong University of Business Studies,Guangzhou 510320,China) |
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| Abstract: | Since 1953,China’s economy has experienced a total of 11 complete cycles.The 12th cycle since 2010 is still ongoing,mainly with short-term fluctuations of 4-5 years,and the long-term fluctuations more than five years are less.Since reform,although the economic growth is more and more stable and the average growth level rises ceaselessly,the time of systolic is longer behind the rapid growth of economy. |
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| Keywords: | business cycle logarithmic differential method wave amplitude growth leave |
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