“一带一路”陆海贸易通道耦合协调性评价研究

“一带一路”是陆海联动之路,贸易通道是陆海联动的关键抓手,对其展开耦合协调性评价研究具有重要的现实意义。文章以2007—2018年中国“一带一路”沿线9个涉海省份为样本,实证研究了陆海贸易通道的耦合协调情况,并对其发展水平、发展速度和区域差异进行测评分析。测算结果显示,大多涉海省份陆域和海域受“一带一路”的影响不均衡且地区差异明显,而造成差异的原因主要包括发展空间基础、政府定位、创新力度和效果的差异等。基于此,文章提出了优化通道发展格局、同步通道的“软件”和“硬件”建设、以港口为核心构建“一带一路”发展前沿与联动基础等建议。

On Coupling and Coordination Evaluation of Land-sea Trade Channels in the Belt and Road

The Belt and Road is a road of land-sea linkage. Trade channels are the key to land-sea linkages, and it is of great practical significance to study the coupling and coordination of them. Taking the nine provinces and cities along the Belt and Road in China from 2007 to 2018 as samples, this work empirically studies the coupling and coordination of land-sea trade channels, and evaluates and analyzes their development level, development speed, and regional differences. Research shows that:the land and sea areas of most provinces and cities are unevenly affected by the Belt and Road Initiative, and there are obvious regional differences. The reasons for these differences mainly include development space foundation, government positioning, innovation intensity and effectiveness, and so on. Based on this, the study puts forward suggestions including optimizing the development pattern of the channel, constructing the "software" and "hardware" of the channel simultaneously, and building the frontier and linkage foundation of the Belt and Road development with ports as the core.