| Holt-Winters模型与X-11模型在预测中的比较研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李晓童. Holt-Winters模型与X-11模型在预测中的比较研究[J]. 河北北方学院学报(社会科学版), 2000, 16(2): 70-73 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李晓童 |
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| 作者单位： | 张家口师范专科学校数学系,张家口,075028 |
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| 摘 要： | 以实际数据为例,时一时间序列分别建立Holt-winters模型与X-11模型并进行预测.从而对这两种统计模型进行比较研究,得出对于既有趋势又有季节性的时间序列进行预测X-11模型优于Holt-Winters模型.
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| 关 键 词： | Holt-winters模型 X-11模型 时间序列 滤波 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-2727(2000)02-070(04) |
| 修稿时间： | 2000-04-03 |
Comparison of Holt-winters Modeles and X-11 Models in Prediction |
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| Li Xiaotong. Comparison of Holt-winters Modeles and X-11 Models in Prediction[J]. Journal of Hebei North University, 2000, 16(2): 70-73 |
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| Authors: | Li Xiaotong |
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| Abstract: | This paper establishes the so-called Holt-winters model and X-ll model for a time-series based upon the data, and predicts the future trend of it. By the study of comparing the two models it is obtained that the X-ll is better than the Holt-winters for this time-series. |
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| Keywords: | Holt-winters models X-11 models time-series filtering prediction |
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