| 电力市场价格的模糊建模预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张平安.电力市场价格的模糊建模预测[J].深圳信息职业技术学院学报,2005,3(4):6-10. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张平安 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 深圳信息职业技术学院计算机应用系,广东,深圳,518029 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文提出了模糊建模技术实现电力市场价格（market clearing price，MCP）短期预测的方法。该方法运用具有散射划分结构的Takagi—Sugeno-Kang（TSK）模糊模型，详细地介绍了辨识这种TSK模型结构的改进算法。特别地，由于这种结构辨识算法计算简单，划分准确，我们可设置良好的初始参数，加快建立MCP预测模糊模型的速度。用过去的MCP实际数据建模并测试TSK模型，所得到的结果是正确有效的。
|
| 关 键 词： | 模糊建模 电力市场价格 TSK模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-6332（2005）04-0006-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-03-11 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-03-11 |
Fuzzy modeling for electricity market price forecasting |
| |
| ZHANG Pingan.Fuzzy modeling for electricity market price forecasting[J].Journal of Shenzhen Institute of Information Technology,2005,3(4):6-10. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHANG Pingan |
| |
| Institution: | Department of Computer Application, Shenzhcn Institute of Information Technology, Shenzhen 518029, P.R.China |
| |
| Abstract: | In this paper,market clearing price(MCP)short-term forecasting implementation using advanced fuzzy modeling technique is presented.The described approach uses the well-known Takagi- Sugeno-Kang(TSK)fuzzy model with scatter partition structure.A modified structure identification algorithm for TSK model is introduced in detail.Particularly,since the presented algorithm is computationally simple and partitively accurate,we can set the good initial parameters and build the MCP forecasting fuzzy models rapidly.The retrospective MCP real-world data was used for modeling and testing the TSK model.The results presented in this paper confirm considerable value of the fuzzy modeling based approach in forecasting the MCP. |
| |
| Keywords: | fuzzy modeling market clearing price TSK model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
