我国居民消费与收入关系的实证分析

文章首先建立模型,然后利用现代计量经济学中的动态分布回归与误差修正模型,基于1996-2007年的年度数据,对我国消费与收入的关系进行实证分析,结果发现,长期来看人均收入每增加1个百分点,消费将增加0.8991个百分点,短期来看人均收入每增加1个百分点,消费将同增加0.2886个百分点,这一数值与长期关系的数值相比较而言显然较小,究其原因有预算约束,收入偏低,未来收支不确定,消费观念保守,消费环境较差,收入分配不公以及社会保障制度不健全等,因此,为了提高居民消费水平,应采取措施加以解决.

CHINA' S CONSUMPTION AND INCOME RELATIONSHIP EMPIRICAL STUDY

This article first model,and then in modern econometrics dynamic distribution return and error correction model,Based on 1996-2007 year annual data,China' s consumption and income for the relationship between empirical research,finally discovered that In the long run per capita income increased by 1 percentage point,consumption will increase by 0.8991 percentage point,per capita income in the short term for each additional 1 percentage point,with the increase in consumption will be 0.2886 of a percentage po...