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运用灰色理论和运筹方法研究车辆渡与杨浦大桥交通量转移
引用本文:程祖德.运用灰色理论和运筹方法研究车辆渡与杨浦大桥交通量转移[J].上海海事大学学报,1994(3).
作者姓名:程祖德
作者单位:上海海运学院水运经济科学研究所
摘    要:运用灰色理论中的GM模型、排队论以及对策论中的MarkovChain等方法,在预测过江车流量的基础上,对车辆渡与杨浦大桥交通量的分流、趋势、稳定分流率和稳定分流期等进行了研究。

关 键 词:灰色模型,排队论,马尔柯夫链,交通流量,越江车辆,分流率

A Study on Shifting Traffic Volume of the Vehicular Ferry and Yangpu Bridge by Grey Theory and Operations Research Method
Cheng Zude.A Study on Shifting Traffic Volume of the Vehicular Ferry and Yangpu Bridge by Grey Theory and Operations Research Method[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,1994(3).
Authors:Cheng Zude
Abstract:On the basis of forecasting the volume of vehicular traffic crossing the Huangpu River,this paper makes a study on the drawing volume of traffic of the vehicular ferry and the Yangpu Bridge,their trend, stabilizing drawing probability,stabilizing drawing period,etc. by using the GM model of grey theory, qucuing theory,the Markov Chain of game theory and other methods.
Keywords:grey model  queuing theory  Markov Chains  traffic flow  vehicles crossing the River  drawing probability  
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